GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
VIASKIN BLA Submission Delayed by a Quarter for Minor Formatting; We Maintain Our Bullish Outlook
Research evidence excerpt
VIASKIN BLA Submission Delayed by a Quarter for Minor Formatting; We Maintain Our Bullish Outlook
June 29, 2026
Valuation
We use a probability-adjusted discounted cash flow analysis to value DBVT shares. We
model cash flows out to 2035 and assume a discount rate of 12% with 0% terminal value.
The estimated equity value is $4.1B, which includes cash. This leads us to a 12-month price
target of $48/share. Our calculation includes estimated cash and shares outstanding at
1Q27.
Risks
DBV Technologies is a clinical-stage company, and investment is subject to risk. These risks
include, but are not limited to:
Clinical trial risk: Clinical development is a risky enterprise that could result in a negative
outcome. Failure to demonstrate statistical and clinical significance or a compelling drug
efficacy/safety profile could lead to rejection of regulatory approval in new or expanded
indications.
Regulatory risk: As with any company the main business of which is drug development
and commercialization, DBV Technologies is subject to the very stringent regulatory
requirements of the FDA and other international regulatory agencies to have its new drugs
or new indications for them, approved. Promotion of its approved drug products is also
stringently regulated by the FDA and related agencies throughout the world. There have
also been several changes at the FDA and leadership views may change.
Commercial/Competitive risk: There are multiple programs commercialized or in
development for food allergies. This could limit adoption of DBV’s products if approved.
In addition, clinicians may be reluctant to change prescribing practices due to personal
clinical experience with other therapies. Also, failure to execute commercially could dilute
DBV’s market potential.
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