U.S. Health Care Facilities & Managed Care: June Jobs Report Shows Sharp Deceleration, Adds to Mix Concerns

Research evidence excerpt

U.S. Health Care Facilities & Managed Care: June Jobs Report Shows Sharp Deceleration, Adds to Mix Concerns

Equity Research

2 July 2026

U.S. Health Care Facilities & Managed Care

June Jobs Report Shows Sharp

Deceleration, Adds to Mix

U.S. Healthcare Facilities & Managed CareConcerns

NEUTRAL

This further clouds the employment outlook and likely U.S. Healthcare Facilities & Managed

Careweighs on commercial mix alongside ongoing pressures from

consumer affordability, immigration dynamics, and Andrew+1 212 526Mok,5496CFA

population migration trends. andrew.mok@barclays.com

BCI, US

Thomas WalshTotal Nonfarm Payrolls Rose 57k in June: Total nonfarm payrolls increased by 57k in June

+1 212 526 5096

(+0.3% y/y), or half the consensus estimate of 113k, while the unemployment rate fell 10 bps to

thomas.walsh@barclays.com

4.2%. Health care employment rose by 22k (+2.4% y/y) and accounted for 38% of total job BCI, US

additions. The report also included notable downward revisions of -31k to April payrolls and

Tiffany Yuan-43k in May with modest declines inside health care. Labor force participation dropped 30 bps to

+1 212 526 5568

61.5%, contributing to the decline in headline unemployment. Overall, this marks a sharp tiffany.yuan@barclays.com

deceleration in recent job momentum and further clouds the employment outlook. We expect BCI, US

this to weigh on commercial mix alongside ongoing pressures from consumer affordability,

Mingchuan Songimmigration dynamics, and population migration trends —factors we discussed in detail in our

+1 212 526 9787

recent note. mingchuan.song@barclays.com

Health Care Hiring Trends by Segment: Within health care, employment growth in hospitals

(+2.1% y/y), nursing care (+2.2%), and outpatient care (+2.7% y/y) each moderated slightly.