GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Rheinmetall (AO) | Buy | The Q2 call provided a blend of good and bad news
Research evidence excerpt
Rheinmetall (AO) | Buy | The Q2 call provided a blend of good and bad news
Rheinmetall Buy | Target Price: EUR2264.00
Company description Management
Rheinmetall is a defence group that is active in all five military domains: land, air, Armin Papperger, CEO
sea, space and cyberspace. It is a market leader in armoured vehicles, weapons & Klaus Neumann, CFO
ammunition, and electronics. The company is a key supplier to the German Key shareholders
army. Free float 100.00%
Fidelity 4.99%
LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT 3.08%
BlackRock 3.04%
Investment case Valuation methodology
As a key supplier to Germany's armed forces, it is also the key Our TP is derived from a 2:1 blend of a DCF model (avg. annual
vehicle to play the country's plans to expand defence spending. FCF of EUR6.8bn, avg. cost of equity of 10.3%, 2% perpetual
Rheinmetall is hence well-positioned to capitalise on the growth) and a peer multiple approach (23.3x).
German rearmament trend. While our DCF is a three-stage model, the peer multiple
Capacity expansiosn are underway to support the company's approach applies a P/E which applies the average of defence
ability to execute on the major orders which will drive future peers.
growth. Risks to our rating
Its product portfolio puts Rheinmetall in the sweet spot of the Any downturn in the auto industry impacts its margins in
trend to rearmament, resulting in prospects of profitable, cash- trimming positive operating gearing effects.
generative structural growth. Specifically, its exposure to Germany is a key customer for the Defence division. Any delay or
ammunition means it will be able to see growth unfolding reduction in the country’s planned defence spending would be
already in the short-term. Rheinmetall is a prime vehicle to play negative for Rheinmetall.
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