GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
INVA Extends Strategic Reach with Nortiva Bio Launch - Long-Acting Oral Therapies Provide a New Range of Opportunities to Create Value
Research evidence excerpt
INVA Extends Strategic Reach with Nortiva Bio Launch - Long-Acting Oral Therapies Provide a New Range of Opportunities to Create Value
Investment Thesis
Innoviva is estimated to benefit from a windfall through 2030 from royalty rights for two COPD/asthma inhaled therapies
and is thoughtfully redeploying capital across a portfolio of differentiated infectious disease + critical care therapies, strategic
investments, and also directly back to shareholders. Internally marketed products exceed $180M in LTM revenue as of March 2026
at a healthy growth cadence (1Q26 revenue reflected 37% y/y growth) and focus on the hospital setting. These are areas investors
have shied away from in recent years, and INVA has recognized an opportunity to acquire cheap, master the call point at scale,
and let commercial momentum drive upside. INVA also owns majority stakes in standalone companies including Armata (ARMP,
Not Rated; first-mover phage-based antibiotics) and Syndeio (Private; novel NMDA receptor modulator for depression), a setupBIOTECHNOLOGY reminiscent of BBIO (Not Rated) prior to its successful subsidiary consolidation. A recently acquired extended release platform
for oral small molecules (weekly or better dosing) will likely also be of interest to investors and strategics. In 2026, we see strong
upside potential for INVA shares enabled through continued growth of internal commercial efforts, catalysts from INVA’s strategic
investments, and potentially accretive acquisitions (e.g., anti-fungals) where clear synergies can be realized with INVA's existing
commercial channels.EQUITY
Upcoming Catalysts Price Performance
■ Nuzolvence commercialization - 2H26 $28
■ Armata AP-SA02 Phase 3 trial initiation - 2H26 $26RESEARCH $24
$22
$20
Base Case Assumptions: $42 Price Target $18
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