GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
We Won’t Say It, But We’re All Thinking It…
Research evidence excerpt
We Won’t Say It, But We’re All Thinking It…
Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU)
EQUITY RESEARCH Company Update
June 24, 2026
We Won’t Say It, But We’re All Thinking It… Price: $1,048.51
Price Target: $1,500.00 In step with the robust AI compute demand environment, Micron offered
Rating: Overweight a very strong report overnight with combined May/August revs/EPS results
Key Statistics: and guidance of $91.5B/$56.11 vs. consensus of $79.5B/$46.58 (15%/20%
Symbol NSQ: MU better). The story once again is a very tight DRAM and NAND supply
52-Week Range 103.38 - 1,213.56 environment enabling meaningful ASP increases with mgmt suggesting
Market Cap 1,182,440.4 2027 just as tight as 2026 (we think worse), supporting a durable and ADV (3 mo) 50,883,408
elongated cycle (suggesting it is different this….never mind, we won’t say Shares Out (M) 1,127.7
it). As for new details, mgmt provided meaningful details on the company’s
new SCA’s that are take or pay, include up front cash, price corridors (price Research Analysts:
floor/ceiling), and represent ~40% of total company revenues (and 50% C.J. Muse
212-915-1935 + including market price SCAs) under long-term contract (5yr duration
CJ.Muse@cantor.com outside of Auto contracts). Our work highlights the company waited for
Jamison Phillips-Crone, CFA August Q pricing to be settled before signing contracts, highlighting to 720-320-9242
jamison.phillips-crone@cantor.com us that GM’s for Micron are indeed sustainable in the +80% territory (a
Matthew Prisco key focus for investors). And very importantly, we view these SCA’s as
212-610-2416 significantly altering price discovery moving forward, with Micron likely
Matthew.Prisco@cantor.com booked into the 3rd month of each Q by at least 70% vs.
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