European Economics Weekly: 10 Years On from the Brexit Referendum

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European Economics Weekly: 10 Years On from the Brexit Referendum

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June 26, 2026 01:27 PM GMT

Morgan Stanley Europe S.E.MEuropean Economics Weekly | Europe Jens Eisenschmidt

Chief Europe Economist

10 Years On from the Brexit Jens.Eisenschmidt@morganstanley.comJean-Francois Ouvrard +49 69-21662817

Deputy Chief European Economist

Jean-Francois.Ouvrard@morganstanley.com +49 69-21662813

Referendum Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc

Bruna Skarica

This week, Bruna Skarica discusses what we know about how Chief UK Economist

Bruna.Skarica@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-9110

the UK economy evolved post-Brexit. Next week, the focus will Chiara Zangarelli

be on the ECB Forum in Sintra and EA June HICP inflation. Economist

Chiara.Zangarelli@morganstanley.com +44 20 7677-3644

This week in Europe: Reflecting on 10 years since the Brexit referendum Morgan Stanley Europe S.E.

Gabriela Silova

Ten years ago, a UK Prime Minister resigned, paving the way for his party to choose Economist

a successor. England struggled in an international football tournament. This week, a Gabriela.Silova@morganstanley.com +49 69-21662832

UK Prime Minister resigned, paving the way for his party to choose a successor. Morgan Stanley & Co. International plc

England stumbled in an international football tournament. History does rhyme. Ten Skander Garchi Casal

Economist

years ago, of course, the UK was preparing for the task of delivering Brexit, which Skander.Garchi.Casal@morganstanley.com +44 20 7425-0034

was voted for on June 23, 2016. At the end of January 2021, the Trade and

Morgan Stanley Europe S.E.

Cooperation Agreement (TCA) between the UK and the EU came into force. What Claire A Thuerwaechter

happened in the last 10 years, and how did pre-Brexit forecasts fare? Economist