GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Corbion: Look for Q2 adj EBITDA of €50.8m
Research evidence excerpt
Corbion: Look for Q2 adj EBITDA of €50.8m
the more favourable pricing backdrop in Nutrition, we raise
our FY26 OSG forecast to 4.8% from 4.2%, placing us in the middle of management's 3-6%
guidance range, partially offset by a more muted volume outlook in FI&S. That said, our broader Price Performance Exchange-AEX
view remains unchanged. We downgraded Corbion to Equal Weight in March (Inflation 52 Week range EUR 21.96-15.85
Incoming: Energy Shock Reopens the Pricing Cycle, 27 March 2026), as we believed the
company's volume-led growth ambitions appeared increasingly challenging to achieve.
Expect Q2 adjusted EBITDA of €50.8m: We forecast a sequential improvement in profitability,
with EBITDA margin recovering to 15.7% from 12.9% in Q1, although remaining 80bps below the
prior year given a tougher cost backdrop. Within FI&S, we expect margins to contract YoY as
higher sulfuric acid, energy and freight costs more than offset operating improvements. Sulfuric Source: IDC
acid represents c3% of the COGS basket and a €10m headwind for the year. In Health & Link to Barclays Live for interactive charting
Nutrition, we also forecast lower YoY margins, reflecting pricing pressure on spot contracts
before the recent sharp increase in fish oil prices, although this headwind should ease through European Chemicals & Ingredients
H2 as contract renewals begin to capture the improved market environment. We have raised our Setu Sharda
FY26 H&N margin assumptions to reflect a more favourable pricing outlook in omega-3, driven + 91 (0)22 6175 1934
by substantially higher fish oil prices and improving contract economics. Even so, we forecast an setu.sharda@barclays.com
FY26 adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.8%, slightly lower YoY and below the company's 17% target. Barclays, UK
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