GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
PEXA Taxing Times
Research evidence excerpt
PEXA Taxing Times
Tharan Jeyathasan AC Asia Pacific Equity Research
(61-2) 9003-6098 25 June 2026 J P M O R G A N
tharan.jeyathasan@jpmorgan.com
Price Performance Summary Investment Thesis and Valuation
Investment Thesis
PEXA is the operator of the largest digital property settlement
platform (PEXA Exchange) in Australia. PEXA Exchange is
involved in ~90% of all property transactions across Australia,
and enjoys a monopolistic market position in e-conveyancing.
We think there are limited near-term risks to this dominant
market position, given ARNECC’s announcement that it is
pausing interoperability and standing down all project teams as
well as Sympli’s decision to move away from interoperability.
PEXA is looking to replicate this success in the UK, and has
YTD 1m 3m 12m recently achieved some key milestones which we think provide
Abs -22.2% -9.0% -32.8% -21.3% investors with incrementally improved confidence in PEXA’s
Rel -22.6% -9.6% -35.3% -23.5%
prospects for success in the UK. If PEXA is able to consistently
Company Data deliver on its communicated milestones, we think the market
Shares O/S (mn) 177 will start placing value on its growth businesses.
52-week range (A$) 17.18-10.28
Market cap ($ mn) 1,279.29 Valuation
Exchange rate 1.45 Our 31 December 2026 price target of $14.00 is based on a ~6%
Free float (%) 92.7%
3M ADV (mn) 0.65 discount to our SOTP valuation to allow for the elevated
3M ADV ($ mn) 5.5 uncertainty around IPART review pricing outcomes. We
Volatility (90 Day) 44 continue to adopt a 15x EBITDA multiple for each business. For
Index ASX 200
BBG ANR (Buy | Hold | Sell) 7|2|1 the International business specifically, we assume a 75%
probability of success in achieving a 20% market share at 35%
Key Metrics (FYE Jun)
EBITDA margins.
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