GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
AEP - Good story that sounds better each time
Research evidence excerpt
AEP - Good story that sounds better each time
Utilities
Utilities/Regulateds - Market Overweight
AMERICAN ELECTRIC POWER (AEP) June 21, 2026
AEP - Good story that sounds better each time Rating:
Outperform
The Wolfe Byte Price: $127.69
We visited AEP's mgmt this week. AEP is confident on its $78B 5yr capital plan Price Target:
and greater than 9% EPS CAGR through 2030, with at least $10B of capex upside. $153
AEP trades at a modest premium to the group but at a discount to high growth % Upside:
19.8%peers. Reit OP
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High conviction on $78B capital plan through 2030, with at least $10B upside. Company Information
AEP has high conviction on its 5-year EPS CAGR of greater than 9% driven by its 52-Week Range $101 - $137
$78B capital plan. And AEP sees at least another $10B of upside, despite some noise Market Cap. (MM) $69,477
around one data center project in WY. AEP trades in line with the group on 2028-29E, Enterprise Value (MM) $122,250
Shares Out. (MM) 544.1
after pulling back when it issued $3B of forward equity. But AEP has solidified itself Avg. Value Traded (MM) $1,299.39
as a high-growth utility, and we think its new plan unveil on the 3Q26 call is a key SI% of Float 5.9%
catalyst. We see multiple expansion and EPS upside.
140Breaking down capex upside. AEP noted fuel cells related to a WY data center ($3B),
a Piketon OH transmission project (≥$4.2B) and generation investments. There were 135130
investor questions about the BE fuel cells for a WY data center, from which Crusoe 125120
was removed. But AEP noted the unnamed hyperscaler still can use the fuel cells 115110
elsewhere if they are not used in WY by 6/30. The lead utility BKH is still moving 105100
forward, implying the data center will likely be at that site.
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