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Walton's Weekly Flyby: A dive into A320 dels; Congress trying to add teeth on cap return rules
Research evidence excerpt
Walton's Weekly Flyby: A dive into A320 dels; Congress trying to add teeth on cap return rules
Aerospace & Defense
Aerospace - Market Overweight
Defense - Market Overweight
Space - Market Weight
Walton's Weekly Flyby: A dive into A320 dels; Congress June 21, 2026
trying to add teeth on cap return rules
The Wolfe Byte
In this weekly, we present a look at A320 delivery rates by engine type and a broad look at retirements (remains
low). In defense, it was a choppy week for stocks with NDAA policy amendments on contractor div/repo but think
everyone is in compliance.
Aerospace: A320 deliveries/1st flights by engine, look at retirements, schedules & June delivery update
GE and RTX seemingly find themselves in Airbus's cross-hairs every other 6-12mo as it relates to their engine deliveries.
We take a look inside at how LEAP and GTF based A320 deliveries have been trending. On the delivery front, GE based
deliveries were weak to start 2026 but have started to come around while GTF based deliveries have done better (driven
mainly by A321s). 1st flights by engine tells a bit of a different story as LEAP deliveries don't seem as weak while GTF
deliveries don't appear quite as strong. Aircraft retirements remain very low so far in 2026 with T4Q trends pointing
to ~1.5%. 1Q26 data points to lower y/y retirements and while 737NG/CFM56 lead the way on a % of fleet basis, the
numbers are very low still. Schedule capacity trims continue but have slowed from a month ago with current schedules
showing a re-acceleration of growth into July. With 2Q winding down, we expect to see OE deliveries really ramp over
the final half of June. Airbus is comping an easier 2Q25 and so their deliveries are already higher y/y while BA looks set
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