BTM Bursts Through the Door: Read-Throughs from INNIO's S-1 Filing

Research evidence excerpt

BTM Bursts Through the Door: Read-Throughs from INNIO's S-1 Filing

Power & Utilities

Equity Research

June 18, 2026

Assessing the Speed-to-Market Pitch

From the INIO S-1:

“ Grid constraints, interconnection delays, congestion and multi-year grid

modernization timelines are further accelerating the structural adoption

of on-site, decentralized and microgrid-based power solutions, which

are increasingly viewed as permanent components of future power

architectures rather than temporary bridges to grid connection. ”

The BTM pitch of eliminating interconnection queue risk is indeed compelling. FTM projects face

4-5 year lead times not solely due to equipment availability, but also due to transmission studies,

grid impact assessments, and regulatory approvals required by regional transmission organizations

(RTOs) and independent system operators (ISOs). INIO cites data from Enverus and EMBER data

indicating the average interconnection queue in the US and in key European countries exceeds six

years. Recent data from PJM, MISO, and ERCOT show interconnection queues exceeding 1,000 GW

of proposed generation, with withdrawal rates above 30% as projects face unexpected upgrade costs

or extended timelines. BTM solutions sidestep this bottleneck entirely, offering a deterministic path to

energization that appeals to hyperscalers facing pressure to bring compute capacity online rapidly.

However, this advantage is inherently time-bound: once a data center is operational with BTM

power, the economic incentive to transition to FTM emerges as grid connection becomes available,

project economics mature, and the premium on speed-to-power diminishes. The critical question

is whether BTM deployments will demonstrate sufficient "stickiness" to resist grid connection even