Multi-year earnings growth story

Research evidence excerpt

Multi-year earnings growth story

tal return within a range of 4% over the

next six months.

SELL = We expect this stock’s total return to underperform the market’s expected total return by 5% or more over the next six

months.

Analyst valuation methods

When setting the individual ratings for investment research (“independent research”), ABG Sundal Collier assumes that a

normal total absolute return (including dividends) for the market is 8% per annum, or 4% on a 6-month basis. Therefore, when

we rate a stock a BUY, we expect an absolute return of 9% or better over six months. Volatility and low trading volumes mean

that we have a wider range for expected returns on small cap stocks than for large caps.

ABG Sundal Collier’s analysts publish price targets for independent research and may publish valuation ranges for

commissioned research. These price targets or valuation ranges rely on various valuation methods. One of the most frequently

used methods is the valuation of a company by calculation of that company’s discounted cash flow (DCF). Another valuation

method is the analysis of a company’s return on capital employed relative to its cost of capital. Finally, the analysts may analyse

various valuation multiples (e.g., the P/E multiples and the EV/EBITDA multiples) relative to global industry peers. In special

cases, particularly for property companies and investment companies, the ratio of price to net asset value is considered. Price

targets and valuation ranges are changed when earnings and cash flow forecasts are changed. They may also be changed

when the underlying value of a company’s assets changes (in the cases of investment companies, real estate companies or

insurance companies) or when factors impacting the required rate of return change.

Expected updates