GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ) (Buy) - Top-tier copper-gold asset at inflection point
Research evidence excerpt
Amman Mineral Internasional (AMMN IJ) (Buy) - Top-tier copper-gold asset at inflection point
Nomura Securities Malaysia Sdn Bhd
Amman Mineral Internasional AMMN.JK AMMN IJ 11 June 2026
EQUITY: METALS & MINING
RatingTop-tier copper-gold asset at inflection point Starts at Buy
price IDR 5,400 Starts atInitiate at Buy rating with a target price of IDR5,400 Target
Closing price
10 June 2026 IDR 3,310Strategic top-tier asset; one of the lowest cost producers
AMMN operates one of the world's most strategic and fully integrated copper-gold complexes, Implied upside +63.1%combining the fastest production growth trajectory among global peers with a lowest-quartile C1
cash cost position. As Batu Hijau transitions into Phase 8, we forecast AMMN is set to contribute Market Cap (USD mn) 13,372.4
~1% of global copper supply by FY27F. Based on the latest JORC (FY24), AMMN commands an ADT (USD mn) 21.7
estimated 23.4bn lb of copper and 33.2mn oz of gold in reserves, ranking it among the top 10
copper-gold assets globally. High gold by-product credits and fully integrated operations command
strong EBITDA margins relative to the peer average. Relative performance chart
Strong operational momentum; capex cycle behind us; 42% EBITDA CAGR over FY25-28F
We forecast copper cathode production to grow from 80kt in FY25 to 203kt in FY28F (37% CAGR
FY25–28F), translating into USD5.2bn/USD2.6bn in revenue/EBITDA for FY28F (41%/42%
revenue/EBITDA CAGRs over FY25-28F), as AMMN harvests returns on its USD5.5bn end-to-end
investment. Key upcoming milestones include: 1) a 220ktpa copper smelter ramp up; 2) processing
capacity expansion to 85Mtpa; 3) a gold refinery; and 4) the Phase 8 mining ramp-up which all will
be run by an improved energy mix via 450MW CCPP and LNG regasification.
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