GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
EBAY: The Depop Defense: Vinted US Entry Bolsters Strategic Case for Depop Acquisition
Research evidence excerpt
EBAY: The Depop Defense: Vinted US Entry Bolsters Strategic Case for Depop Acquisition
Equity Research
Company Update — June 17, 2026
Internet
eBay Inc.
The Depop Defense: Vinted US Entry Bolsters Strategic Equal Weight
Case for Depop Acquisition Price Target: $104.00
Our Call Ticker EBAY
Upside/(Downside) to Target (3.6)%
See $1.2B Depop acquisition price, and LSD% expected EPS dilution, as favorable trade
off to potentially much more significant earnings dilution related to core EBAY C2C Price (06/17/2026) $107.89
commission cuts to compete against aggressive US market entrant Vinted. 52 Week Range $72.84 - 119.31
Market Cap (MM) $49,306
eBay’s US response to Vinted market entry looks structurally different than UK/ Enterprise Value (MM) $52,346
Germany w/ pending acquisition of Depop, a resale-native, fashion-first marketplace Average Daily Value (MM) $590
whose younger, discovery-led audience and lower ASP profile look closer to Vinted Dividend Yield 1.1%
than core eBay w/ Depop/Vinted fashion ASPs est. ~60% lower. eBay moving earlier in
US by shifting to an owned platform response before Vinted reaches UK/Germany-like $ (Dec) Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
scale, potentially avoiding painful commission rate cuts to address any share loss. EPS
2026E 1.12 A 1.14 E 1.11 E 1.14 E 4.50 E
Depop partially mitigates risk to eBay US C2C fashion 13.5% commission rates, 2027E 1.42 E 1.26 E 1.26 E 1.30 E 5.21 E
above Depop at 11.2% and Vinted at 6.4% (Exh. 5). Estimate 3%/9-10% EPS dilution EPS: GAAP EPS
should eBay US C2C fashion commissions migrate to Depop/Vinted fee structure, Source: Company Data, Wells Fargo Securities estimates, and Factset.
resp. Believe eBay fashion skews higher priced / authenticated, suggesting more limited NA = Not Available, NC = No Change, NE = No Estimate
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