Colruyt Group N.V "Stable guidance, but challenges remain" (Neutral) Mahamkali

Research evidence excerpt

Colruyt Group N.V "Stable guidance, but challenges remain" (Neutral) Mahamkali

Global Research

18 June 2026ab

Colruyt Group N.V Equities

BelgiumStable guidance, but challenges remain

Food Retailers & Wholesalers

12-month rating Neutral

Stable guidance offsets weak Food EBIT and ongoing share pressure

COLR reported FY26 results with a stable FY27e profit outlook, but the miss in Food EBIT, 12m price target €36.50

alongside comments on structural market challenges and ongoing market share losses Prior : €38.00

were less encouraging in our view. We continue to see COLR as a solid operator in an

Price (18 Jun 2026) €34.12

increasingly difficult Belgian market, with easier Sunday opening rules creating a

structural headwind for the core Colruyt banner. While pricing remains competitive, RIC: COLR.BR BBG: COLR BB

with a 10%+ gap vs non-discounters and 7–8% vs discounters, volume growth

Trading data and key metrics

continues to lag the market and share fell 45bps to 28.5%, with management already

52-wk range €38.24-30.32

indicating that FY27e is unlikely to be a recovery year. Guidance for at least stable EBIT,

while reassuring, wage indexation at 3% and on-going structural challenges suggest Market cap. €4.11b/US$4.71b

limited scope for margin recovery. COLRs integrated store model carries a higher labor Shares o/s 120m (ORD)

cost base, elevated Sunday pay premiums, and smaller baskets than the normal Free float 29%

shopping mission. We slightly trim margins for FY27e. At around 12x FY27e EPS, we Avg. daily volume ('000) 56.2

believe the shares fairly reflect modest growth, persistent market share pressure and Avg. daily value (m) €1.9

ongoing execution challenges. We remain Neutral with a slightly lower €36.5 PT (€38). Common s/h equity (03/27E) €3.39b

P/BV (03/27E) 1.2x