GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
WELL: NDR highlights SHOP platform advantage
Research evidence excerpt
WELL: NDR highlights SHOP platform advantage
ble to outperform the industry P/AFFO 46.8x 38.3x 32.3x 28.0x
attributed to its better portfolio quality/locations (sourced via its data
FFO/Sh, Rpt Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 analytic capabilities) and strong operator relationships. This should persist Diluted
especially as the team layers on the Welltower Business System (WBS). The 2025 1.20A 1.28A 1.34A 1.45A
same store SHOP has delivered a 20.0% CAGR (2022-2026E), and while the 2026 1.47A 1.55E 1.63E 1.68E
trend could moderate as vacancy hits frictional levels (still multiple years 2027 1.76E 1.84E 1.90E 1.95E
AFFO/Sh, Diluted away), it should remain strong. WELL noted its buildings with occupancy 2025 1.06A 1.13A 1.16A 1.22A
above 95%+ still delivered ~20% YOY NOI growth this past quarter. 2026 1.33A 1.37E 1.44E 1.45E
2027 1.58E 1.64E 1.70E 1.72E
Platform should drive persistent outperformance: WELL has already
developed and is now actively rolling out WBS across the portfolio. The AllPricedvaluesas ofin priorUSD unlesstradingotherwiseday's marketnoted.close, EST (unless otherwise noted).
system has been equipped in ~250 communities (~13% of the 1Q26
portfolio) as of YE25 and should be added to another 600-700 communities
in 2026 (~45% of the 1Q26 portfolio in total). We believe this annual pace
is likely sustainable at least in the medium-term. The implementation is
initially dilutive as the community-level team needs to learn and adapt to
new procedures. That said, the company is continuously learning the major
pain-points for each roll-out and should be able to continuously limit the
said disruption over time. Management noted that the early roll-outs are
yielding encouraging results and have equally reflected attractive revenue
and expense improvements.
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