GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Fox: Thoughts on the Roku Acquisition
Research evidence excerpt
Fox: Thoughts on the Roku Acquisition
16 June 2026
Fox
• Roku brings valuable tax assets. We estimate Roku will bring NOLs
($1.6B) and R&D credits with an NPV of ~$1B.
• We see upside to management’s cost synergy estimates. Management
guided to $400M in cost synergies, which we believe is a conservative
estimate.
Transaction Terms
Fox announced that it will acquire Roku for $160/share in a 60% cash ($96/share)
and 40% stock (0.9693 Fox shares per Roku share) deal, implying a total equity
value of $25B and an enterprise value of $22B. The cash component of the deal
will be funded through ~$8B of new debt, with the remainder funded from the
roughly $9B of pro forma cash on hand expected at close. The deal is expected
to close by June 30, 2027 and following the transaction, the combined company
will be ~73% owned by Fox shareholders and 27% by Roku shareholders. We
believe the merger will likely be completed before mid-2027 given what we see
as minimal concerns regarding anti-trust in the US and even more so
internationally.
Management’s Guidance for Synergies and Leverage
Management expects the deal to generate $400M in run-rate cost synergies with
additional, unquantified revenue upside. Management expects to fully realize cost
synergies within 2 years of closing and the combined entity is expected to have
net leverage of 2.8x at closing, inclusive of 50% credit of run-rate cost synergies.
We view the $400M cost synergy guidance as conservative. Management also
expects the transaction to be free cash flow accretive within two years of closing,
and given the combined company’s strong free cash flow profile, to maintain a
mid-BBB investment-grade credit rating. Fox noted that the company intends to
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