GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Forza LUGANO: Ph3 Stats Deep Dive Points to High POS *SLIDES*
Research evidence excerpt
Forza LUGANO: Ph3 Stats Deep Dive Points to High POS *SLIDES*
USA | Biotechnology
EyePoint Pharmaceuticals Inc EquityJuneResearch11, 2026
ESTIMATE CHANGEForza LUGANO: Ph3 Stats Deep Dive Points to
RATING BUYHigh POS *SLIDES*
PRICE $12.33^
EYPT expects Ph3 wet AMD data for LUGANO ~Aug + LUCIA ~Oct. This is a
huge binary for the co as the market shifts to include durable TKI tx. Both trials PRICE TARGET | % TO PT $30.00 | +143%
evaluate Duravyu Q6M vs Eylea Q8W, BCVA non-inferior primary but injection 52W HIGH-LOW $19.11 - $7.94
reduction key. We assess 65% PoS, balancing Ph2 DAVIO2 precedent vs pot'l FLOAT (%) | ADV MM (USD) 87.8% | 11.90
BCVA drag as stricter rescue criteria helps injection reduction ep but yields MARKET CAP $1.1B
some BCVA underperformance. Risk-reward seems attractive to us. See slides. TICKER EYPT ^Prior trading day's closing price unless otherwise
noted.
Context: What are we getting in Aug w/ LUGANO?
First Ph3 data for Duravyu (VEGF TKI implant) vs Eylea (aflibercept), w/ mixed tx-naive/ref pt FY (Dec) CHANGE TO JEFe JEF vs CONS•
pop (n=400) 2026 2027 2026 2027
Primary endpoint ΔBCVA at avg of Wk52/56 w/ non-inferiority margin -4.5 letters REV NA +112% NM +46% •
Injection burden reduction is key secondary EPS +4% +14% NM -25% •
BCVA NI needed for approval but investors will focus on injection reduction and rescue-free•
%'s to assess commercial pot'l 2026 ($) Q1A Q2 Q3 Q4 FY
We like the setup at EYPT's current mkt cap relative to competition EPS (0.99) (0.94) (0.97) (0.94) (3.84)•
PREV (1.09) (3.99)
LUCIA exp ~2 mos later as identical confirmatory Ph3 >> stats analysis is equally applicable
Exhibit 1 - We derive a PoS of ~65% adjusted
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