GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
DAN: Transformative Deal; Maintain Outperform
Research evidence excerpt
DAN: Transformative Deal; Maintain Outperform
RBC Capital Markets, LLC
Tom Narayan (Analyst)
(212) 428-2364, tom.narayan@rbccm.com
Thomas Ito, CFA (Senior Associate)
(212) 301-1402, thomas.ito@rbccm.com
June 11, 2026 Outperform
NYSE: DAN; USD 35.47 Dana Incorporated Price Target USD 41.00RESEARCH Transformative Deal; Maintain Outperform Scenario Analysis*
Our view: We think today's 12% pullback is more related to deal Downside Current Price Upside
dynamics than fundamentals. The transaction increases exposure to a Scenario Price Target Scenario
more attractive CV and aftermarket business and appears to have been 27.00 35.47 41.00 48.00
done at an attractive price. Shares might be range-bound near term given 24% 16% 36%
no buybacks for 24 months and the overhang of Eaton shareholder selling, *Implied Total Returns
but longer term, we expect shares to recover as the multiple re-rates higher. Key Statistics
Shares O/S (MM): 109.9 Market Cap (MM): 3,898EQUITY Dividend: 0.10 Yield: 0.3% Key points: Avg. Daily Volume: 1,025,214
Transformative Deal. As we discussed (see report) earlier today, Dana's
combination with Eaton's (covered by RBC Industrials Analyst Deane Dray) RBC Estimates
Mobility business increases Dana's higher multiple CV and aftermarket FY Dec 2025A 2026E 2027E
exposures to 27%/16% from 20%/12% LV/CV/Aftermkt. On the deal- Revenue 7,500.0 7,662.5 8,247.6
specific conference call held this am, management indicated that it had EPS, Ops Diluted 0.56 2.57 4.70
been working aggressively on this deal. Eaton announced its intention to P/E 63.2x 13.8x 7.5x
EBITDA 610.0 824.5 964.7 sell this business on January 26, and we think that this could have helped
Dana secure a good purchase price for it. Revenue Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
2025 1,781.0A 1,935.0A 1,917.0A 1,867.0A
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