GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
ASEAN Equity Strategy Breathing a sigh of relief
Research evidence excerpt
ASEAN Equity Strategy Breathing a sigh of relief
J P M O R G A N Global Markets Strategy
16 June 2026
ASEAN Equity Strategy
Breathing a sigh of relief
ASEAN equities posted their best day in more than a year with the PSEi (+6%) and Equity Macro Research
ACJCI (+4%) jumping after the US and Iran governments announced a deal to end the Khoi Vu, CFA
conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Brent oil prices retreating to ~$80/bbl (65) 6882-8170
levels would alleviate a lot of concerns on ASEAN macro environments. At the khoi.t.vu@jpmorgan.com
sector level, we believe this would benefit Airlines, Industrials, Real Estate, and Rajiv Batra AC
Banks, while Defense, Energy, Materials, and Utilities might pull back after a (65) 6882-8151
period of outperformance. As sentiment recovers and earnings visibility rajiv.j.batra@jpmorgan.com
J.P. Morgan Securities Singapore Private Limited
improves, we see opportunities to buy stocks that might benefit from the
reversal of: (1) earnings forecasts, (2) valuations, and (3) institutional investor
positioning (see Tables 2, 3, and 4 for the respective stock screens). Stocks with
an OW rating under JPM coverage that belong to at least 2 out of 3 screens are: ASII
IJ, ANTM IJ, ICBP IJ, BDMS TB, BH TB, BDO PM, ALI PM, AC PM, TCB VN,
and FPT VN.
• Top-down: a sigh of relief, for now. Announcement of a US-Iran peace deal
has paved the way for the Strait of Hormuz to reopen and for the oil flows to
resume. This would bring oil prices down, easing the pressure on ASEAN
energy importers, which have been seeing record trade deficits as well as
weakening tourism inflows. In terms of the government budget, we believe the
reduced oil prices would ease the need for fiscal support, leaving fiscal room
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