GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Model Updated Post NUVL Acquisition
Research evidence excerpt
Model Updated Post NUVL Acquisition
Pharmaceuticals/Major
GSK plc
TD SECURITIES (USA) LLC ESTIMATE CHANGES
June 11, 2026
Price: $51.17 | 1,921.50p (06/10/2026) Model Updated Post NUVL Acquisition
Price Target: $70.00 | 2,555.00p
HOLD (2)
ESG SCORE: 59/100
Steve Scala, R.Ph., CFA THE TD COWEN INSIGHT
617 946 3923
GSK anticipates NUVL deal will be additive to 2031 sales target and bolster margins through
stephen.scala@tdsecurities.com
dolutegravir LOE. It fits GSK's pattern of buying de-risked assets with clear differentiation,
Michael Nedelcovych, Ph.D. and builds GSK's presence in lung cancer ahead of key readouts. But KOLs expect neladalkib
617 946 3744 launch could be slow and payors may restrict access, particularly in 1L. GSK model updated,
michael.nedelcovych@tdsecurities.com
prospects bolstered in 2030+.
Chris LoBianco
617 946 3734 The News:
chris.lobianco@tdsecurities.com
Earlier this week, GSK announced the acquisition of Nuvalent (NUVL; Frahm; Hold; $123.10)
Paul Kuhn, Ph.D. for $124/share or $9.4B (£7.1B) net of cash acquired. The deal will be funded with debt plus
646 562 1328
cash, with no impact to GSK's credit rating. GSK anticipates the deal will be (1) accretive
paul.kuhn@tdsecurities.com
to operating profit in 2027; (2) have a low-single-digit percent dilutive impact to EPS in
Key Data 2026-28; and (3) be accretive to core EPS in 2029 inclusive of synergies and GSK's portfolio
Symbol NYSE: GSK | LSE: GSK.L reprioritization. Deal close is expected in Q3:26 with no change to 2026 guidance. This
Beta: 0.37 | 0.80 acquisition adds two de-risked assets currently under FDA review: (1) neladalkib (a 4th gen ALK
52-Week Range: $61.18-$36.20 | 2,268.00p-1,344.00p inhibitor) filed for 2L+ ALK+ NSCLC (PDUFA 11/27/26); and (2) zidesamtinib (4th gen ROS1 TKI)
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