GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
TMT Daily "INTB: Tax reform raises the cost of producing outside Manaus;..."
Research evidence excerpt
TMT Daily "INTB: Tax reform raises the cost of producing outside Manaus;..."
Global Research
11 June 2026ab
TMT Daily Equities
Emerging MarketsINTB: Tax reform raises the cost of producing
outside Manaus; TOTVS: Google's AI price cut Telecommunications
adds to the commoditization debate Leonardo Olmos,AnalystCFA
leonardo.olmos@ubs.com
+55-11-9658 7533
INTB: Tax reform raises the cost of producing outside Manaus Gustavo Farias
Associate Analyst
What happened: According to Valor, tax experts say the tax reform's plan to end gustavo.farias@ubs.com
state tax incentives starting in 2033 could make electronics manufacturing unviable +55-11-2767 6154
outside the Manaus Free Trade Zone (ZFM). Key points:
Manaus gains a structural cost edge. Simulations show that by 2030, still in
the transition period of the reform, the total tax burden of making a
smartphone in Minas Gerais would be 26.5% higher than in Manaus, where
benefits run at least until 2073. Fiesp's legal director said the tax gap for IT
products could reach up to 419%.
How the transition works. State incentives phase down gradually between
2027 and 2032. From 2029 to 2032, ICMS is replaced by the new IBS, and states
can keep offering incentives through a compensation fund (FCBF). Starting in
2033, only Manaus incentives remain. Companies there can also access CBS tax
credits of 2% or 6% starting next year, and Suframa estimates the hub could
receive 200 new factories over the next three years.
Relocation comes with conditions. Tax experts noted not every company can
relocate to Manaus, given restrictions on certain product categories and the
need for an approved basic production process (PPB). The PPB sets a minimum
set of local production steps and must be approved by the Ministries of
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