GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Kering (1K) | Buy | Recovery delayed, not derailed
Research evidence excerpt
Kering (1K) | Buy | Recovery delayed, not derailed
#TPchange #HighConviction
Release date: 11 June 2026
Company research
ESG profile BuyKering
European Large CapsFrance | Luxury goods Beta Profile: MCap: EUR31.6bn Selected List
Target Price: EUR360.00 (400.00) Change in TP: -10.0 % Bloomberg: KER FP Reuters: PRTP.PA
Current Price: EUR256.00 Change in Sales: -1.6% 26E/-1.3% 27E Free float 57%
Up/downside: 40.6% Change in Adj EBIT: -8.0% 26E/-8.3% 27E Avg. daily volume (EURm) 132.6
YTD abs performance -15.0% Market data: 10 June 2026 Change in Adj. EPS: -11.2% 26E/-9.2% 27E
52-week high/low (EUR) 344.95/172.58
Recovery delayed, not derailed Price
performance
Why this report?
We reiterate our Buy rating and continue to view Kering as a compelling and
largely underappreciated turnaround story. While the conflict in the Middle
East is delaying the recovery into H2, management's initiatives are gaining
traction. Gucci remains challenged near term (-6% LFL in Q2E) but is showing
encouraging signs, entering the Top 10 of our Luxury Brand Heat Barometer.
We view the CMD targets as achievable despite slower sector growth. We cut
our 2026-28E sales forecasts by 1% and EBIT/EPS by 8%/9%, but remain
above consensus. With investors still cautious and consensus assumptions
conservative, we see scope for upgrades. Buy with TP lowered to EUR360.
Key findings
After the publication of our Q&A report earlier this year, we revisit our investment
case on Kering following Q1 results and the group's CMD, reiterating our view that FY to 31/12 (EUR) 12/26E 12/27E 12/28E
Kering remains a compelling and largely underappreciated turnaround story. Sales 14,861 15,727 16,731
EBITDA adj. 3,875 4,363 4,988 While the conflict in the Middle East is delaying the expected recovery into H2, EBIT adj.
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