US Daily Data Recap "Stable FRBNY inflation expectations" Nichols

Research evidence excerpt

US Daily Data Recap "Stable FRBNY inflation expectations" Nichols

Global Research

8 June 2026ab

US Daily Data Recap Economics

AmericasStable FRBNY inflation expectations

Jalen Nichols

Economist

A light data day in the US but three-year ahead inflation expectations fell 0.1 pp to 3.1% jalen.nichols@ubs.com

+1-212-882 6905

in May according to the FRB of New York survey of consumer expectations. Several

FOMC participants have emphasized anchored inflation expectations as a key source of Jonathan Pingle

the Fed's credibility, and the edge down in the FRBNY measures continues to signal well- Economist

anchored expectations, at least on this metric. On Friday, preliminary June estimates of jonathan.pingle@ubs.com

+1-212-713 2225

consumer sentiment and inflation expectations will arrive from the University of

Michigan, which will offer a more timely reading ahead of the FOMC meeting next Abigail Watt

week. Read our full preview of the meeting in the US Economics Weekly "Hawkish NFP, Economist

inflation week next" on page 3. abigail.watt@ubs.com

+1-212-882 6929

Alan DetmeisterIn the May FRBNY survey, labor market assessments were mixed. The mean perceived

probability of finding a job in the next three months if one loses a job today rose, while alan.detmeister@ubs.com

expectations that the unemployment rate would be higher in a year's time fell. +1-212-713 1222

Households continue to point to worsening financial situations on both a current and

Amanda Wilcox

year-ahead basis with the mean probability of consumers being unable to make the

minimum monthly payment rising in May. Consumer credit outstanding rose $20.7 amanda.wilcox@ubs.com

billion to $5.2 trillion in April (4.9% saar), leaving the level up 2.3% over the year in data +1-212-713 3899