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US Biopharmaceuticals: Tales from the Biotape, vol 4: Is it time to reassess Biopharma?
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US Biopharmaceuticals: Tales from the Biotape, vol 4: Is it time to reassess Biopharma?
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US Biopharmaceuticals
Tales from the Biotape, vol 4: Is it time to
reassess Biopharma?
Industry Overview
Fundamentals improving… but are we there yet? 08 June 2026
Despite some recent traction, Biopharma continues to lag the broader market (NBI +2%, Equity
DRG +5% vs. SPX +8%). We acknowledge key overhangs remain—including inflation/ United States
rates, limited generalist engagement, and structural challenges within the broader Health Biopharmaceuticals
Care sector (see our large- and SMiD-cap analyses). That said, several early major Jason Zemansky
concerns are easing: policy/ pricing pressures are more contained, regulatory dynamics Research Analyst
are stabilizing, M&A has proven more resilient, and fundamentals are showing signs of BofAS+1 646 855 4280
improving. Against this backdrop—with the short thesis weakening (see our short thesis jason.zemansky@bofa.com
note) and the Energy trade potentially less a challenge than feared (see our oil overhang Jacqueline Plesset
note)—investors may want to reconsider the case for Biopharma. ResearchBofAS Analyst
+1 646 855 0014
Policy/ regulatory risks easing with Biopharma also cheap jacqueline.plesset@bofa.com
Savita Subramanian
Perhaps the biggest disconnect reflects the easing of Biopharma-specific overhangs— Equity & Quant Strategist
some of the recent, primary drivers of negative sentiment. Despite concerns around BofAS
+1 646 855 3878
FDA, the number of approvals is on track to meet, if not modestly exceed, the 5-year savita.subramanian@bofa.com
annual average of ~48 (Exhibit 7). Capital markets have also remained open: IPO count
has already matched 2025 levels, with YTD proceeds up +129% vs.
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