GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Acquisition Of Star Therapeutics Adds Ph3 Heme Asset
Research evidence excerpt
Acquisition Of Star Therapeutics Adds Ph3 Heme Asset
TD Cowen Incyte
Global Research June 8, 2026
longer-term Ph3 dataset and ultimately commercial use to more fully derisk this theoretical
risk.
Pivotal VIVID-6 Is Ongoing And Appears De-Risked
In October 2025, the Ph3 open-label VIVID-6 trial was initiated, which is expected to read
out in early 2029. Given the strength of the Ph 1 bleeding data and unmet need in VWD, we
think the trial has relatively low clinical efficacy risk and commercial risk. The improved
convenience associated with Q4W SC dosing vs 1-3x/week IV administration of rVWF will also
be highly attractive.
Cont'd..
As a result, we view the primary risk to '039's success as the theoretical risk of rare clotting
events in larger trials.
Assuming improved efficacy (including demonstrated in switch patients) convenience, and
clean safety is confirmed in Ph3, Incyte believes it cannot only capture the majority of the
2K U.S. patients already receiving IV prophylactic therapy but grow the prophylactic market
as KOLs suggest as many as 10K VWD patients would be eligible and amenable to monthly
SC prophylaxis. With expected pricing similar to hemophilia agents ($500K-$1MM+/year)
and assumed chronic administration, $1B in global peak sales appears achievable if not
conservative.
The News: Incyte Enters Agreement To Acquire Vega Therapeutics, The Wholly Owned
Subsidiary Of Star Therapeutics
This morning Incyte announced it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Vega
Therapeutics (Star Therapeutics) for up to $2.0B, including $1.25B upfront and up to $750MM
in sales-based milestones. The transaction brings VGA039, a Phase 3 monoclonal antibody
targeting Protein S, into Incyte’s hematology pipeline. VGA039 has demonstrated safety
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