GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
US MOBILITY : Mobility & Delivery Monthly | May. - UBER & DASH Trending In-line
Research evidence excerpt
US MOBILITY : Mobility & Delivery Monthly | May. - UBER & DASH Trending In-line
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INTERNET & MEDIA
US MOBILITY
Mobility & Delivery Monthly | May. - UBER & DASH Trending
In-line
Each month, our tracker will surface key macro, industry, and 3P data trends to: (1) assess shifts in8 JUNE 2026
Securities Research Report intra-quarter sentiment and performance expectations, and (2) identify emerging longer-term trends.
Production time: 11:15* (London time)
Research Analysts & Publishing Entities Industry data points to stable underlying trends
Nick Jones Delivery-related spend maintained 15-16% share of total U.S. PCE. In May, Waymo announced
BNP Paribas Securities Corp1 rolling out its new Ojai robotaxi in Los Angeles, Phoenix, and San Francisco (link). Uber increased
+1 (929) 742-0211
nick.2.jones@us.bnpparibas.com its stake in Delivery Hero and is considering a new bid to acquire the company (link).
Uber (Outperform, $108 TP) – tracking in-line with expectation
Our regression indicates that Uber is pacing slightly below the Street’s $55.9B gross bookings
(mobility + delivery) estimate. Given our ~2.0% standard error and Uber’s growing GOV per MAU,
we view Uber as tracking in-line with expectations, implying y/y growth of 23%.
DoorDash (Outperform, $275 TP) – tracking in-line with expectation
Our regression indicates that DoorDash is pacing slightly behind the Street’s GOV estimate,
excluding an estimated ~$3.3B in GOV from Deliveroo. Given our ~2% standard error and DASH’s
growing GOV per MAU, we view DoorDash as tracking in-line with expectations of 22% y/y growth.
Instacart (Underperform, $37 TP) – MAUs still stagnant, no prediction
QTD, Instacart’s MAUs declined, reaffirming our concerns around its medium- to long-term growth
prospects.
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