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China Property: Home sales YoY growth accelerated on easier comps
Research evidence excerpt
China Property: Home sales YoY growth accelerated on easier comps
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China Property
Home sales YoY growth accelerated on
easier comps
Industry Overview
Home sales YoY growth widened on easier comps 08 June 2026
Across the 15 key cities we track, existing home transaction volumes were up 37% YoY Equity
during the first 6 days of June. During the same period, primary home sales volumes China
across 30 key cities also saw 19% YoY growth, with tier 1 cities up by 50% YoY. We note Real Estate/Property
that the widened YoY growth was aided by much easier comps in June, while the
secondary home sales run-rate softened a bit compared with middle of May. KarlResearchChoi,AnalystCFA >>
Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong)
June MTD’s primary/secondary home sales run-rate is 17%/19% higher than 5M26’s run- +852 3508 3108
karl.choi@bofa.com
rate and is flat/9% higher than May’s (adjusted for the holiday effects in May)
Eric Du >>
Remain positive on top cities’ fundamentals ResearchMerrill LynchAnalyst(Hong Kong)
Although home sales volumes softened sequentially last week, we remain positive on the +852 3508 3329
eric.du@bofa.com
key cities’ fundamentals, supported by declining secondary home listings (Beijing and
Shanghai’s secondary home listings are now 18% and 30% below their peaks), stabilized YoyoResearchPangAnalyst>>
residential rents (Shenzhen, Beijing, and Shanghai have seen residential rent growth for Merrill Lynch (Hong Kong)
+852 3508 7607
three consecutive months), and an improving transaction mix (more transactions in yoyo.pang@bofa.com
larger flats recently, indicating that the replacement chain is gradually taking place).
Exhibit 1: Weekly home sales tracking in key cities MTD: Month to Date
Secondary home sales volume in key cities up by over 30% YoY MTD
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