GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Metrics Recap, VantageScore, Lending Environment Trends
Research evidence excerpt
Metrics Recap, VantageScore, Lending Environment Trends
MBS Market Share Data
VS Mortgage market share, MBS Market Share Data. We show mortgage origination market share data via Fannie Mae and Freddie
very minimal thus far Mac Mortgage Backed Security Issuance portals. We show unpaid principal balance (UPB) at issuance
(representing the remaining outstanding principal amount of the underlying mortgage loans in a pool
that has not yet been repaid by borrowers.) We believe this is the best proxy for market share. Since the
FHFA VantageScore 4.0 pilot launch in late April, Vantage Score market share is identifiable but still very
small. We show data below through June 3, 2026, though would be cautious to read too much into the
early June data thus far.
Exhibit 1 - GSE Mortgage Loan VantageScore 4.0 Market Share (April 2026-June 2026)
VS Market Share April May June (MTD)
Fannie Mae 0.00% 0.01% 0.30%
Freddie Mac 0.01% 0.02% 0.95%
Total GSEs 0.00% 0.01% 0.39%
Note: June MTD represents data through 6/3/26
Source: Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae MBS Portals
Limited origination across Pilot adoption confined to UWM and NewRez, LLC per MBS Data. Of the reported ~21 mortgage
pilot program lenders involved in the FHFA pilot we have only observed VS4 agency origination from NewRez, LLC
and United Wholesale Mortgage, LLC (UWM, not covered) through June. NewRez, LLC has not used
VantageScore for agency mortgage origination since April by our records. However, United Wholesale
Mortgage, LLC (the largest originator per Home Mortgage Disclosure Act data) has been increasing its use
of VantageScore though it still represents a very small percentage of overall UWM volumes compared
to Classic FICO. As FICO initially sold off on fears of market share erosion, we believe the lack of
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