GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Earnings Inflection Coming
Research evidence excerpt
Earnings Inflection Coming
Equity Research
Price Target Change — June 5, 2026
Logistics
Trucking
Raising Estimates Across Truck Complex as Cycle Inflects
Our Call Christian Wetherbee
With multiple TL supply catalysts coupling with improving ISM and LTL weight/ship, we Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Christian.Wetherbee@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8053
think the truck complex is likely to see a material earnings inflection. We're raising ests/
Robert H. Salmon, CFAtgts, and remain constructive even as further upside may be more modest.
Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
Robert.H.Salmon@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5016
TL Supply Catalysts and Improving Industrial Activity Lead Estimates Higher - The Ryan Deveikis
truckload market has been tightening since 4Q, and the Montgomery ruling will add to Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
safety/regulatory enforcement to further tighten the market. Spot rates are rising along Ryan.Deveikis@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-8040
with contracts. In addition, ISM has been above 50 for 5 months with new orders above Matthew Hortopan
56. In LTL,weight/ship is turning positive, which is typically a leading indicator along with Associate Equity Analyst | Wells Fargo Securities, LLC
ISM. This recipe should lead to an earnings inflection. Matthew.F.Hortopan@wellsfargo.com | 212-214-5009
Raising Estimates Across the Truck Complex - We are raising 2027 estimates by 12%
on average with TL moving up 20%, LTL estimates moving up 7% and Logistics moving up
12%. For TL we see the potential for HSD/LDD contract rate increases in both 2026 and
2027 and with LTL volume improving on industrial activity and TL tightness, we think core
LTL revenue growth (ex fsr) in 2027 can accelerate to ~10% with elevated incremental
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