GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Investment Companies Daily HGT CMD take-aways, Equity Strategy, GRID JV completion, CHI final results
Research evidence excerpt
Investment Companies Daily HGT CMD take-aways, Equity Strategy, GRID JV completion, CHI final results
g model is based on number of users of the
software and agentic AI may replace many of those users. Hg contrasts a PE generalist
approach, which might look at using AI to cut some costs with a 1-3 year earnings growth
contribution to its specialist product led approach with a 10-20 year earnings growth
potential.
• Offsetting LLM industry monetisation post huge capex spending: Companies and
their shareholders will want a return on the large capital expenditure that has gone into
data centres, computer chips and other related elements all focused on rolling out LLM
products. This may lead to cost increases for LLMs including higher token rates and
perhaps tiered pricing, where the latest and greatest models command a premium rate or
are released only to premier clients. Hg thinks it can offset some of this potential impact
by building products that can segment queries sent to LLMs with those that are less
intensive, targeted at older, cheaper, LLM models. Hg also has an agreement in place with
Anthropic that gives its portfolio companies a competitive rate for accessing LLM
models.
• AI spend is focused on coding and not deterministic workflows: Hg has analysed
public reported data from AI native start-up companies and found the vast majority of
their revenue comes from coding tasks, replacing work that would have been done by
software engineers, and as yet there is little earnings coming from areas such as
accounting and other deterministic workflows, the area where Hg portfolio companies
operate. Hg thinks that much of what has caused the public software companies sell-off
in 2026 is an information vacuum. It thinks that additional disclosures would show AI
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