GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Equity Market Review: Shaky momentum, nascent rotation
Research evidence excerpt
Equity Market Review: Shaky momentum, nascent rotation
Equity Research
Equity Strategy
5 June 2026
Equity Market Review
Shaky momentum, nascent
rotation
Momentum in AI/Semis feels more shaky. Given crowding in
European Equity Strategy
the space, upcoming liquidity events and policy risk into Emmanuel Cau, CFA
FOMC meeting, hedges seem wise with volatility near lows. +44 (0)20 3134 0475 emmanuel.cau@barclays.com
While it remains hypothetical, a US-Iran deal may amplify Barclays, UK
momo unwind and accelerate rotation into Europe & cyclical Magesh Kumar Chandrasekaran, CFA
laggards. +44magesh.kumarchandrasekaran@barclays.com(0)20 3134 5983
Barclays, UK
Emmanuel Makonga
Weekly market commentary +44emmanuel.makonga@barclays.com(0)20 7773 2593
Shaky momentum...Semis and memory-exposed stocks Barclays, UK Equity Market Review
have largely driven the melt up in global equities ytd. But Arihanth Bohra Jain Our weekly pack contains key
their performance is starting to look extended, with MSCI charts on performance valuation +91 (0)22 6175 1406
World Semis index up ~50% over the past two months, the and technicals arihanth.bohrajain@barclays.com
second highest reading since Nov 2001. Fatigue is visible Barclays, UK
and support from fast money/CTA positioning, an
important driver of the rally since March lows, may be loosing steam given elevated levels now.
Meanwhile, a pickup in equity supply from large IPOs and capital raises in the Tech space will
suck in liquidity. On the macro front, the calendar is getting more eventful with key central bank
meetings in the next few weeks. Most notably, Kevin Warsh is set to chair the Fed for the first
time, when strong US activity data suggest the economy is running hot and high oil prices are
pushing up inflation.
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