GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
European Aviation Daily: Icarus – 29 May 2026
Research evidence excerpt
European Aviation Daily: Icarus – 29 May 2026
Our revenue estimates show some varying trends: Figure 1 shows the March, June and
September estimated YoY changes for key revenue KPIss. It is worth noting that the RASK here
includes ticket and ancillary revenues. At Wizz RASK is supported by the reduction in average
stage length, which results in stronger RASK than the fares might suggest.
Ratings unchanged: Our ratings and price targets are unchanged. We have OW ratings across
our short haul airline coverage, seeing these businesses as the best investment opportunities
for the post war recovery, once it comes.
https://live.barcap.com/go/publications/link?contentPubID=FC6a172f8e48c59b44132f4446
Aegean: Issues for debate post 1Q FY26 results
This report provides a set of issues for investors to discuss with Aegean management after its 1Q
FY26 results on 19 May 2026. Key issues include revenue trends, fuel hedging and availability,
GTF groundings.
What's the debate? This report provides a set of issues for investors to discuss with the Aegean
management team after its 1Q FY26 results on 19 May 2026.
Top of the agenda: Capacity and network planning amid Middle East conflict, unit revenue, fuel
availability and hedging and GTF issues.
View and valuation: We rate the stock Overweight with a price target of €16.50. Aegean is
poorly placed for current challenges, with considerable exposure to Middle East routes,
relatively low fuel hedging and persisting GTF groundings. However, we see Aegean well placed
as a recovery play: demand to Greece remains vibrant, and we expect Greece's position
between Mid-East impacted tourist markets and Western Europe should leave tourism demand
stable. Aegean is navigating the GTF problem with fewer financial consequences than most
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