GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Salesforce Inc "Still Sidelined Given Modest Growth Profile" (Neutral) Keirstead
Research evidence excerpt
Salesforce Inc "Still Sidelined Given Modest Growth Profile" (Neutral) Keirstead
Global Research
28 May 2026ab
Salesforce Inc Equities
United StatesStill Sidelined Given Modest Growth Profile
Software
12-month rating Neutral
Summary
Salesforce posted a print that generally lined up with the feedback from our checks – 12m price target US$185.00
solid Agentforce traction but muted growth across the rest of the core portfolio. In c/c
and excluding the lift from the Informatica deal, total revs growth of 7% in 1Q/Apr was
Price (27 May 2026) US$177.51
up from 6% in 4Q/Jan but is expected to reverse back to a trough of 6% in 2Q/Jul before
beginning a recovery. The notion that we may be at a growth rate trough is RIC: CRM.N BBG: CRM US
encouraging, but the 2H acceleration looks uncertain and in our view the stock simply
Trading data and key metrics
won’t re-rate materially off 6-8% revs growth. We’re content staying Neutral-rated.
52-wk range US$274.51-164.96
Top-Line Story Market cap. US$173b
Shares o/s 974m (ORD)
On a positive note, Agentforce AI run-rate revs of $1.2b was strong (up 200%+ y/y,
Free float 5%
80% for customer support use cases) but Agentforce is still just ~3% of revs. Salesforce
is still messaging strong new bookings, the company is now messaging an acceleration Avg. daily volume ('000) 3,007
in Informatica revs and Salesforce reaffirmed their view that off the ~6% organic revs Avg. daily value (m) US$553
growth rate trough in 2Q/Jul (previously, Salesforce messaged stable sub revs growth in Common s/h equity (01/27E) US$28.7b
2Q/Jul) growth should recover in 3Q/Oct and then further in 4Q/Jan. Our challenge is P/BV (01/27E) 5.2x
that a) the modest expected deceleration in 2Q/Jul is a set-back to this 2H acceleration Net debt to EBITDA (01/27E) 1.7x
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