GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Fresh 5/26: USDA (+COLD), AVB/EQR PEG, Starlink Scenarios, IIPR Debt, COLD/IIPR/SUI/WELL Est
Research evidence excerpt
Fresh 5/26: USDA (+COLD), AVB/EQR PEG, Starlink Scenarios, IIPR Debt, COLD/IIPR/SUI/WELL Est
REITs
CRE Services - Market Weight
Net Lease - Market Weight
Office - Market Weight
Technology - Market Underweight
Fresh 5/26: USDA (+COLD), AVB/EQR PEG, Starlink May 26, 2026
Scenarios, IIPR Debt, COLD/IIPR/SUI/WELL Est
The Wolfe Byte
The Wolfe Research daily or "Fresh" as we like to call it provides analysis on names in our sectors that we find
stock impacting, estimate updates, and earnings reports. We also include daily news on a real time basis that we
think moves stocks. Enjoy!
We highlight (1) USDA data (2) AVB/EQR PEG (3) Vach Polls (4) CRE services deals (5) Law firm expansion in Manhattan
(6) Office recovery (7) IIPR loan (8) Apartment merger article (9) US policy & politice note (10) Economics note (11) SUI/
COLD/IIPR/WELL estimates
●USDA April data came in positive y/y, inflecting from y/y volume declines since 2023 (Exhibit 1).
●Exhibit 2 shows pre and post merger PEG for the merged EQR/AVB relative to other residential REITs. Within
this subset where we find fundamentals challenging, we find the multiple to growth post the "self help" of EQR/
AVB attractive to peers, and find valuation pricing in less "self help" than other large caps with demand tied to
population growth. Please note our accretion does not account for debt mark to market.
●Our polls (Exhibits 3 through 5) show investor outlooks on (1) Starlink being a fourth carrier and (2) SUI repurchase
potential. We also provide detail on potential Starlink scenarios and SUI repurchase capacity in the report below.
●We update our SUI '26 and '27 estimates post Park Holidays sale and accounting for refis. We are ~1% above
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