GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Raizen: Out-of-court restructuring plan disclosed; capital injection, debt conversion, spin-off
Research evidence excerpt
Raizen: Out-of-court restructuring plan disclosed; capital injection, debt conversion, spin-off
Exhibit 1: The restructuring plan comprises R$65bn of debt Exhibit 2: Raizen Combustiveis to have ND/EBITDA of 4.8x post spin-off
Raizen’s debt breakdown (R$bn) given its stronger cash flow generation potential
Estimated leverage breakdown per business unit post transaction
3.1 2.0 1.7 1.5 9.9 4.3 40 6.0 6.6
7.3
11.9 5.0 30 75.3 27.2 53.0 57.3 60.3 62.3 63.9 65.4 20 4.0 46.4 39.0
27.2 3.0
2.0
0 1.0 Bonds CRAs credits loans credit scope Total
of -10 0.0 Term Derivatives Guarantees prepayment Debentures Rural Export out Raizen Combustiveis Raizen Energia
Cash (R$bn) Gross debt (R$bn) Export Debt
Net Debt/EBITDA (x) - RHS
Source: Raizen
Source: Raizen BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
Exhibit 3: Our estimates are below Raizen’s estimates for Sugar, Exhibit 4: Our estimates are below Raizen’s for Fuel Distribution in
Ethanol & Energy, although we are more optimistic in the short term Brazil in the next seven years
Raizen vs. BofA Global Research estimates for Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy business Raizen vs. BofA Global Research estimates for Fuel Distribution business
10,000 12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
FY27E FY28E FY29E FY30E FY31E FY32E FY33E 4,000
Sugar, Ethanol and Energy - BofA FY27E FY28E FY29E FY30E FY31E FY32E FY33E
Sugar, Ethanol and Energy - Raizen Fuel Distribution BZ - BofA Fuel Distribution BZ - Raizen
Source: Raizen, BofA Global Research estimates Source: Raizen, BofA Global Research estimates
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
Exhibit 5: Creditors to own 82% of shares assuming 45% debt
conversion at R$0.25/share
Raizen’s shareholder structure post out-of-court debt restructuring
Current free float Current
1% controlling group
17%
Debt
holders
82%
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