GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Burlington Stores: Margin outperformance reinforces opportunity for outsized EPS growth
Research evidence excerpt
Burlington Stores: Margin outperformance reinforces opportunity for outsized EPS growth
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Burlington Stores
Margin outperformance reinforces
opportunity for outsized EPS growth
Reiterate Rating: BUY | PO: 367.00 USD | Price: 326.23 USD
Reiterate Buy as we expect continued market share gains 28 May 2026
BURL’s margin outperformance on the 6% comp and sales upside from new store Equity
openings point to an opportunity for continued outsized EPS growth. We expect market
share gains vs. the industry to lead to upside to estimates and reiterate our Buy rating. Lorraine Hutchinson, CFA Research Analyst
BofAS
FY guidance raise despite freight pressures +1lorraine.hutchinson@bofa.com646 855 0951
Management raised full year guidance by the beat, now expecting full year comps of 2- Mary Sport
4% and EPS of $11.45-11.80. This is surprising in light of new freight pressures from Research Analyst
the rising cost of oil. For 2Q, management has returned to this year’s original comp BofAS+1 646 743 0227
algorithm of 1-3%, and guides EPS to $2.05-2.20, nicely above our $1.84. This includes mary.sport@bofa.com
EBIT margin +30-60bp.
Strong comp drove 1Q beat Stock Data
EPS of $2.10 beat our/Visible Alpha consensus estimates of $1.72/1.69 on stronger
sales and gross margin (GM). Sales rose 14% on a 6% comp as early new store openings Price 326.23 USD
had an outsized contribution. GM increased 30bp, nicely above our (10bp) as Price Objective 367.00 USD
merchandise margin (+20bp) and freight (+10bp) combined for the beat. This was Date Established 6-Mar-2026
despite earlier markdowns vs last year. Operating margins rose 10bp, as the GM beat Investment Opinion C-1-9
and 10bp of SG&A leverage offset lower other income (30bp). 52-Week Range 218.52 USD - 351.85 USD
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