GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Communications Infrastructure: Towers built to weather the storm
Research evidence excerpt
Communications Infrastructure: Towers built to weather the storm
$2.4bn escrow order and potential resolution in courts are positive catalysts.
Domestic deployments remain at trough levels given 5G coverage has been +/- reached. Densification efforts will likely
Domestic AMT, CCI,
Positive be longer dated, but we could see incremental deployments from various carriers around the edges of the network. 2026
Deployments and SBAC
Outsized deployments (vs. expectations) would be a net positive for tower operators.
International International markets are deploying 4G spectrum and are in the infancy of 5G deployments, when compared to the US. AMT and
Positive 2026
Deployments Carriers will likely continue to deploy at scale. SBAC
Market expectations have increased for a Fed rate increase. Tower stocks are negatively correlated with rates in addition
Rising rates =
to having resilient business models. Our correlation analysis implies a 5.2%, 4%, and 4.9% stock move for AMT, CCI, and AMT, CCI,
Interest Rates Negative Falling 2026
SBAC, respectively, on a 100bp change in 10-year treasury yields. We estimate <100bp impact to AFFO/share at AMT and SBAC
rates = Positive
and CCI from 100bp higher refinancing rate and just over 100bp drag on SBAC.
Source: BofA Global Research
BofA GLOBAL RESEARCH
Spectrum auction positive for towers
The FCC has a mandate to auction C-band spectrum by July 4, 2027. We expect
incremental discussions surrounding the auction and potential participation of LEO
operators to be a positive for tower companies. Carrier commentary on spending at
future auctions has been mixed, but we expect strong participation and increased
discussion of 6G builds as the auction nears. Further, LEO operator terrestrial ambitions
2 Communications Infrastructure | 28 May 2026
CR
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