GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
BRAIN Biotech AG (AO) | Buy | Q2 26 breakdown EBITDA miss, but sequential recovery still intact
Research evidence excerpt
BRAIN Biotech AG (AO) | Buy | Q2 26 breakdown EBITDA miss, but sequential recovery still intact
News comment
Release date: 28 May 2026
Nicolas Pauillac
Equity Research Analyst
Buy +33 1 53 65 34 97BRAIN Biotech AG npauillac@keplercheuvreux.com
Germany | Pharma & biotech Beta Profile: MCap: EUR63.6M
Target Price: EUR5.00 Bloomberg: BNN GR Reuters: BNNn.DE
Current Price: EUR2.91 Free float 42%
Up/downside: 71.8% Avg. daily volume (EURm) 0.1
YTD abs performance 15.5% Market data: 27 May 2026
52-week high/low (EUR) 3.66/1.85
Q2 26 breakdown EBITDA miss, but sequential recovery still intact
Key points:
Group revenues of EUR11.5m declined 5% year on year, broadly reflecting the weak trading backdrop already flagged in Q1, with
continued bakery enzyme softness and temporary production interruptions linked to the Netherlands site relocation.
BRAINBiocatalysts revenue came in at EUR10.4m, down 4% year on year but 4% above Visible Alpha, while BRAINBioIncubator
revenue was EUR1.1m, down 19% year on year but 23% above consensus. The main disappointment was below the revenue line:
total operating performance was EUR11.2m, down 18% year on year and 13% below consensus, mainly due to a sharp negative
inventory effect of EUR-0.6m versus EUR+1.1m in Q2 24/25. Adjusted EBITDA came in at EUR-0.4m, 10% below consensus, while
reported EBITDA of EUR-0.8m was 28% below consensus and worse than EUR-0.6m in the prior year.
We would not view the Q2 miss as thesis-changing, but it confirms that the recovery in the core enzyme business is still early. The
revenue performance in BRAINBiocatalysts was better than feared, and management highlighted sequential growth versus Q1,
with the baking segment bottoming out and enzyme-related CRO demand remaining solid. However, lower capacity utilisation
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