GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Poland Economics and Macro Strategy: NBP Preview: Waiting to Act
Research evidence excerpt
Poland Economics and Macro Strategy: NBP Preview: Waiting to Act
IdeaM
Fixed Income Disclosures
Exhibit 6: Valuation methodology and risks
Trade Date Entry Level Target Stop Rationale Risks
HUF 5Y5Y vs PLN 5Y5Y 15-May-26 0 -50 20 We expect further risk compressiontake somein HUFprofit.vs PLNBut wealthoughexpectwelongunderstandend to compressthe big movefurtherhasagainsthappenedPLN and those in the trade should Worseningpositioningof fiscalunwindscenario and
Source: Morgan Stanley Research
Exhibit 7: History of recommendations
Definition of terms
Buy/Long: The analyst expects the total or excess return (depending on the nature of the
recommendation) of the instrument or issuer that is the subject of the investment
recommendation to be positive over the relevant time period.
Sell/Short: The analyst expects the total or excess return (depending on the nature of the
recommendation to be negative over the relevant time period.
Selling protection or Buying Risk: The analyst expects that the price of protection against
the event occurring will decrease over the relevant time period.
Buying protection or Selling Risk: The analyst expects the price of protection against the
event occurring will increase over the relevant time period.
Pay: The analyst expects that over the specified time period the variable rate underlying
the swap agreement that is the subject of the investment recommendation will increase.
Receive: The analyst expects that over the specified time period the variable rate
underlying the swap agreement that is the subject of the investment recommendation will
decrease.
Like: Based on current market conditions as of the date of this report the analyst expects
that the relevant securities of the issuer that is subject of the recommendation will
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