GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Braze Market conflates classification shift with mix deterioration; we remain OW see potential pullback as a buying opportunity
Research evidence excerpt
Braze Market conflates classification shift with mix deterioration; we remain OW see potential pullback as a buying opportunity
J P M O R G A N North America Equity Research
27 May 2026
Braze
Market conflates classification shift with mix Overweight
deterioration; we remain OW see potential pullback as a BRZE, BRZE US
buying opportunity Price (27 May 26):$24.58
Price Target (Dec-26):$33.00
Vertical SaaS & HealthTech
Alexei Gogolev AC
(1-212) 622-9391
alexei.gogolev@jpmorgan.com
Destiny Jackson
Braze kicked off FY27 with a clean “beat-and-raise”; revenue was 3% above (1-212) 622-4360
destiny.jackson@jpmorgan.com
consensus (up ~30% yoy and 27% yoy on organic basis). The company continued
Ella Smithto invest into expanding BrazeAI portfolio and showing improving retention/
(1-212) 622-2451
enterprise mix. However, the stock is down more than 10% after hours as investors ella.smith@jpmchase.com
grapple with the fact that much of the upside appeared to be professional services-
Isabella A Camaj
driven versus subscription. On the call, management addressed this directly, noting (1-212) 834-2379
the step-up was largely a packaging/SKU change (more explicit line items for bella.camaj@jpmorgan.com
customer success entitlements that were previously bundled/allocated within J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
subscription). CFO emphasized that ~99% of total revenue and 85% professional
services revenue is recurring and recognized ratably like subscription. We see no
Key Changes (FYE Jan)fundamental headwinds to demand and view the change as classification shift
rather than a true mix deterioration. We view any potential share weakness at Prev Cur Δ
Adj. EBITDA - 27E ($ mn) 81 86 5.2%
opening related to mix deterioration confusion as a buying opportunity, Adj.
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