GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Storebrand Model update post-1Q26
Research evidence excerpt
Storebrand Model update post-1Q26
J P M O R G A N Europe Equity Research
27 May 2026
Storebrand Underweight
STB.OL, STB NO
Model update post-1Q26 Price (26 May 26):Nkr181.00
▲Price Target (Dec-27):Nkr150.00
Prior (Dec-27):Nkr145.00
We are raising our cash earnings forecasts for Storebrand, following its 1Q26
results, with cash earnings before amortisation increasing by ~0.5%-3.5% over European Insurance
2026E. Cash earnings were in line with our forecasts at 1Q26, but with better Farooq Hanif AC
results in the capital-light Insurance and Savings businesses, and weaker results in (44 207) 742-8091
Guaranteed Pension. However, the latter was due to a lower profit-sharing result farooq.hanif@jpmorgan.com
in 1Q26, which we would consider a timing issue, and will be offset by better profit- Bingdi Fan, CFA
sharing later in 2026. In addition, revenues in the Insurance business grew to a (44-20) 7742-5336
bingdi.fan@jpmorgan.com
greater extent than we expected, supported by continued growth in market share
Kamran M Hossain
in the P&C business.
(44-20) 3493-3780
kamran.hossain@jpmorgan.com
However, we are lowering our IFRS earnings forecasts, which drive our EPS
Nadia Claressa
forecasts, largely due to lower results in asset management and a higher combined
(44-20) 7134-7613
ratio than we expected in 1Q26. There remains a disconnect between the lower cash nadia.claressa@jpmorgan.com
earnings and higher reported profits on an IFRS basis at Storebrand. While cash J.P. Morgan Securities plc
earnings are economically more meaningful, they are not comparable with other
stocks in the sector, or the Nordic region. Specialist Sales contact details:
Gigi Sparling - Specialist Sales -
We summarise changes to our forecasts in Figure 1Storebrand-sumaryofchangestoourestimates.
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