GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
TMT Online ObServer "Stock Movers: Short interest in TOTVS surges; TIGO ..."
Research evidence excerpt
TMT Online ObServer "Stock Movers: Short interest in TOTVS surges; TIGO ..."
Global Research
25 May 2026ab
TMT Online ObServer Equities
Emerging MarketsStock Movers: Short interest in TOTVS surges;
TIGO 8% rally; Megacable potential price Telecommunications
increases vs. Telmex frozen pricing Leonardo Olmos,AnalystCFA
leonardo.olmos@ubs.com
+55-11-9658 7533
Stock Movers: Short interest in TOTVS surges; TIGO 8% rally Gustavo Farias
Associate Analyst
TOTVS: Short interest at 9.7% (last 3y high). Last week, TOTVS short interest gustavo.farias@ubs.com
rose to 9.7% from 8.7%, the highest level in the last 3 years, even with the +55-11-2767 6154
stock down ~13% since May-7 (after the 1Q26 release). We believe the increase
may be linked to the decline of foreign investors in the shareholders base
(typically less active in lending the stock). While AI disruption concerns persist
across software, we note less pressure on software names during this month,
with IGV (iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF) up 10% MTD. Going
forward, while AI could be structurally accretive in the long term, we a risk in
incumbents' ability to adapt fast enough from seat-based to consumption or
task-based billing models.
TIGO 8% rally. Last week, TIGO rose 8%, likely driven by investors
incorporating strong 1Q26 results and Colombia synergies. However, 2026E
earnings fell ~7% as consensus also incorporate integration costs. Overall, we
believe much of the M&A-driven FCF upside is priced in after the ~50% YTD
rally; execution remains a key risk. (See: M&A benefits priced in, amid
relevant short term execution risk; Post-Q1 update and Downgrade to Neutral)
Figure 1: TOTVS short interest (L3Y) Figure 2: Shareholder composition (as a % of free float)
)
as a % o f fr ee f loat
(
e
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