GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Cyrela "...Vivaz hidden in plain sight..." (Buy) Costa
Research evidence excerpt
Cyrela "...Vivaz hidden in plain sight..." (Buy) Costa
, which could potentially offset some margin loss in Vivaz, given cost inflation, 12/26E 4.38 4.10 -7 4.75
and in core business, given potential discounts to accelerate finished inventories 12/27E 5.04 5.05 0 5.58
sales. For SG&A, we are keeping it as 15-16% of net revenues for the next years, in 12/28E 5.40 5.67 5 5.64
line with Cyrela's speech. Also, we are reducing financial results in 2026 and 2027 as
result of the changes in Selic, debt and cash generation. Finally, we see net income Tainan Costa
of R$1.8bn in 2026E (-7% vs. old UBSe) and R$2.2bn in 2027E (flat). Analyst
tainan.costa@ubs.com
+55-11-2767 6091
Low-income as the main engine to navigate high interest rates
Ana Julia ZerkowskiDespite the more challenging scenario for the mid-high income segment, we believe
Associate Analyst
the low-income segment (Vivaz) should continue delivering strong results for Cyrela ana-julia.zerkowski@ubs.com
going forward, potentially becoming more relevant. Analyzing Cyrela's performance +55-11-2767 6303
by segment, we observe Vivaz currently achieves the highest LTM ROIC1 (as per UBS
methodology) among the company's segments at 18% in 1Q26 (vs. 12% of the high-
income and 16% of the mid-income - Figure 1), while also printing the best gross
margin at 37% (vs. 32% of high-income and 31% of mid-income - Figure 3). When
comparing Vivaz to its main peers, it reached the second highest LTM ROIC1 (18% in
1Q26), only behind Cury (22%), whereas the first in annualized figures (29% vs. 26%
of Cury). In terms of ROE2, Vivaz surpasses Direcional (43%) in annualized figures,
achieving 48% (Cury at first with 84%). Overall, these metrics provide some
confidence that, in addition to Vivaz posting strong figures relative to Cyrela's
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