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Strategy - Thailand: 1Q26 earnings wrap: Energy-led beat, raising SET EPS by 6%
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Strategy - Thailand: 1Q26 earnings wrap: Energy-led beat, raising SET EPS by 6%
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Strategy - Thailand
1Q26 earnings wrap: Energy-led beat,
raising SET EPS by 6%
Equity Strategy
1Q26 11%/0% earnings/sales beat, strongest surprise 22 May 2026 Corrected
since 1Q21 Equity Strategy
ASEAN | Thailand
Thai companies completed 1Q26 results with strong headlines. By number of SET100
companies, 70% of companies beat on EPS, 47% beat on sales, and 40% beat on both – Worathep Wongviriyasit ^^^
all metrics are above the historical average since 2018 at 57%/51%/32%. Based on our Research Analyst Kiatnakin Phatra Securities
coverage, EPS beat our analysts’ preview by 11% with most of the positive surprises +66 2 305 9215
coming from Banks (+3.5ppt), Energy (+2.8ppt), Electronics (+1.1ppt), and Materials worathep.wong@kkpfg.com
(+1.1ppt) while no sector missed. Of the 17 sectors we track, 13 sectors reported a beat
of more than 5%.
K-shaped growth trends: Commodities vs consumers
SET100 1Q26 earnings came in at Bt274bn (+31% YoY, +47% QoQ). But growth was
concentrated in commodities and AI/DC-linked sectors. Energy, Utilities, and Materials
contributed 24ppt to the year-over-year growth. Electronics and Telecoms added
another 5ppt, which left the rest (consumer-related) relatively flat. Sales growth
expressed a clearer K-shaped trend with consumer-related sectors (SET100 ex. Energy,
Utilities, Materials, Financials) slowing down to 7% YoY (from 8% in 4Q25) versus the
broad market expanding +5% YoY (from -7% in 4Q25). While 2H corporate guidance has
so far been cautiously optimistic with largely unchanged targets, rising inflationary
pressures in the quarters ahead threaten to undo the margins gained from recent cost-
cutting measures.
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