GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Uranium
Research evidence excerpt
Uranium
g FID. The CNNC partnership substantially reduced the LOT Risked BaseDYLCase BMN SpotPDNU3O8 BOE
funding need (we see benefits from working with CNNC on construction Long Term (Tradetech)
equipment & acid procurement). Chair Brandon Munro presented to Source: TradeTech, Macquarie Research, May 2026
the Macquarie Asia conference, articulating a view that uranium term
Figure 3 - BMN and DYL approaching prices could push higher to ~US$120/lb to incentivise further greenfield production
(vs Tradetech US$93/lb now; MRE base case US$95/lb for now, but we
acknowledge share price volatility is a critical issue for developers). 1600Klbs Total U3O8 Production
DYL – Outperform, preserving flexibility at Tumas 1200
• Tumas project has completed earthworks and is entering the civil works 1000800
phase (could be 10-12 months). Given its strong cash balance, DYL 600
has at this stage preserved full flexibility on FID timing. It is selecting a 400200
construction contractor, and is engaging with potential strategic partners 0
on the project (including from the US). 1Q-FY25a 2Q-FY25a 3Q-FY25a 4Q-FY25a 1Q-FY26a 2Q-FY26a 3Q-FY26a 4Q-FY26 1Q-FY27 2Q-FY27 3Q-FY27 4Q-FY27 1Q-FY28 2Q-FY28 3Q-FY28 4Q-FY28 1Q-FY29 2Q-FY29 3Q-FY289 4Q-FY29 1Q-FY30 2Q-FY30 3Q-FY30 4Q-FY30
LOT – Balance sheet concerns look overdone; OP, TP to $1.30 from $1.90 PDN DYL BOE LOT BMN
• We raise our equity dilution discount factor to A$0.80/sh (was A$0.21/
Source: Company data, Macquarie Research, May 2026
sh), reflecting the possibility that it may need to raise further capital
(now at a much deeper discount & lower price level to begin with). This
could be required if it faces delays in (i) export approvals from the
Namibian and transit governments along route and/or (ii) prepayment/
inventory finance.
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