GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
Visa & Mastercard "An alternative look at the net revenue growth algorit..."
Research evidence excerpt
Visa & Mastercard "An alternative look at the net revenue growth algorit..."
Global Research
22 May 2026ab
Visa & Mastercard Equities
AmericasAn alternative look at the net revenue growth
algorithm; Adding DCF analysis to determine Diversified Technology Services
what's priced in Timothy E. Chiodo,AnalystCFA
timothy.chiodo@ubs.com
+1-415-352 4500
Introducing a net revenue growth algorithm and DCFs to our models: As an Chris Zhang, CFA
Analystaddendum to our original "Visa & Mastercard Growth Algorithm" note, we take a
chris.zhang@ubs.com
different spin on how we approach the net revenue growth algorithm, focused on 5
+1-212-713 4911
different elements of the business, including the domestic portions of Consumer,
Commercial, and Visa Direct, as well as Cross-Border and Value-Added Services revenue Pat Ennis, CFA
Associate Analyst(more on this below). In addition to our segment level build up to net revenue growth,
patrick.ennis@ubs.com
we have also added a DCF to both our Visa & Mastercard models. The impetus here was +1-212-882 0090
to sensitize for several investor concerns surrounding the stocks today (whether merited
or not) and allow investors to input their own assumptions to see what the share price Kyle Crews
Analystimplies in slower revenue growth impacted scenarios (we provide more detail below). All
kyle.crews@ubs.com
Excel available by request and within our Visa & Mastercard model. +1-212-882-0088
Jing Zhang
Net revenue growth algorithm by segment: Historically, we have built up to our net Associate Analyst
revenue growth algorithm by starting with a volume growth bridge (PCE + Cash to Card jing.zhang1@ubs.com
Conversion + New Flows) in tandem with annual yield change dynamics (positive such as +1-212-882 0091
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