日本製鋼所の4Q決算説明会論旨；中計は7月にアップデート

Research evidence excerpt

日本製鋼所の4Q決算説明会論旨；中計は7月にアップデート

d nuclear-related products, particularly

turbine components and large-scale forging products, reflecting structural growth in global

energy demand. While sales were slightly impacted by shipment timing delays at the end

of FY3/26, profitability was maintained, supported by higher production levels and pricing

improvements. The business continues to benefit from favorable market conditions, including

a global shift toward nuclear energy, increased utilization and refurbishment of existing

plants, and long-term expansion in both nuclear and gas-fired power capacity. Demand

visibility remains high, particularly in Europe and North America, underpinning sustained order

momentum and medium- to long-term growth prospects.

Middle East Impact: Limited direct exposure, but indirect cost risks persist. JSW

highlighted limited direct exposure to the Middle East given its small business scale.

However, indirect risks remain, including potential constraints in key materials such

as lubricants and coatings, as well as higher logistics and energy costs driven

by geopolitical tensions. These factors could lead to cost inflation and margin

pressure. As impacts are difficult to quantify and not fully reflected in FY3/27

guidance, earnings downside risk remains depending on geopolitical and supply

chain developments.

JGP2028 and Strategy Update: MTP revision to reflect structural tailwinds.

Progress under JGP2028 remains broadly on track, with structural upside from

defense and power/nuclear offsetting weaker plastics machinery demand. Defense

revenues are tracking ahead of plan, with the FY3/29 ¥80bn target likely to be

achieved one year early, supported by stronger demand and capacity expansion.