GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
RWE : Valuation breather: downgrade to Neutral
Research evidence excerpt
RWE : Valuation breather: downgrade to Neutral
EQUITIES
UTILITIES & CLEAN ENERGY
RWE PRICE*NEUTRALEUR56.6 TARGETFROMOUTPERFORMPRICE EUR59.7 (UPSIDE 5%) TARGET -2%PRICE EPS 6%26e nonEPSmaterial27e
RWE ADR PRICE*NEUTRALUSD65.6 TARGETOUTPERFORMFROMPRICE USD69.6 (UPSIDE 6%) TARGET -2%PRICE EPS 6%26e nonEPSmaterial27e
Valuation breather: downgrade to Neutral
RWE is part-way on a journey from being an expensive integrated utility to a cheap renewables utility.21 MAY 2026
Securities Research Report For now, we think multiples are a fair reflection of the mix and growth outlook as it stands today, and
Production time: 05:28* (London time)
we think profit-taking could cap further upside from catalysts later in the year. There is also a sliver
Research Analysts & Publishing Entities
of doubt hanging over 2026 earnings after a weak underlying 1Q. We are positive on renewables
Harry Wyburd going into 2H26, but we prefer to play this through other names for now. D/g to Neutral, TP to €59.7.BNP Paribas London Branch
(+44) 203 430 8665
harry.wyburd@uk.bnpparibas.com Valuation breather
Two factors drive our change in view: 1) the shares (+25% YTD) are now on c14x ‘30 cons. earnings,
putting them at the top of the integrated peer bracket and although well below EDPR, we think the
latter’s multiple reflects a purity premium which RWE doesn’t yet possess. Investor feedback has
been persistently sensitive to valuation in recent months, and peers (e.g. Iberdrola) have stopped
outperforming after hitting valuation glass-ceilings earlier in the year. We struggle to justify a further
20-30% upside from here. Moreover 2), a weak underlying Q1 has injected an element of doubt over
full year earnings which appear dependent on a strong recovery in trading in the balance of the year.
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