GLOBAL RESEARCH ARCHIVE
GTLB F1Q27 Preview: Looking to Hold It Together
Research evidence excerpt
GTLB F1Q27 Preview: Looking to Hold It Together
May 21, 2026
Howard Ma Howard.Ma@guggenheimpartners.com GTLB F1Q27 Preview: Looking to Hold It Together
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Joseph DiBartolomeo Key Message: We expect GitLab to report slight upside to F1Q27 estimates but maintain
joseph.dibartolomeo@guggenheimpartners.com FY27 guidance to account for incremental uncertainty in the business, including tech-
212 823 6709 heavy layoffs and geopolitical tensions, in addition to ongoing softness in price sensitive
cohorts and public sector weakness. F1Q27 and FY27 guidance were reaffirmed on May
11th in conjunction with a RIF announcement. In our plausible scenario, we’re modeling
total revenue deceleration to 21% growth vs. +23% in F4Q26, guide F2Q in line with
consensus of +16%, and maintain full year guidance of 15-17% growth; we see ultimate GTLB NEUTRAL
GitLab Inc. growth of 19%. Our limited checks with two GitLab partners indicate underwhelming seat
Sector: Software expansion, partially offset by continued tier upgrades, while new logos remain steady
and Duo Agent Platform (DAP) is expected to have minimal contribution this year. We
Earnings Preview did not pick up on GitLab benefitting from increased GitHub outages. Rather, we believe
Share Price $25.62 that Microsoft's [MSFT] lowered pricing for GitHub Actions hosted-runners in January
Price Target NA is negative for GitLab. Additionally, partners see AI budget being allocated to other
areas, at the expense of GitLab—management has identified this as one of the factors
pressuring price sensitive cohorts that represent about 20% of the business. While GitLab
Revenue ($M) is taking action to combat these challenges, including focusing on first orders/new logos,
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